In no particular order:
Michigan State, Louisville, Oklahoma, Villanova, Duke, Xavier, Purdue, Kentucky, Kansas, Virginia
I'm not saying all these teams are better than us, but it's at least not crazy for someone to think they are.
http://www.masseyratings.com/game.php?gid=633817774
We were supposed to win 89-51. The probability of a performance this bad or worse was 5.5%, according to Massey. So there are definitely issues with relaxation that need to be addressed. Honestly, though, it's human nature to conserve energy...
Re: ISU #4 in AP Poll (11/23)
The highest ever is #3 during the 1956-1957 season. The highest ever finish is #6 in the 1999-2000 season. ISU actually finished unranked at the end of the 1956-1957 season, but the poll only went 20 places back then.
That's crazy. Teams play 30+ games a season, and you evaluate success based solely on how many rounds they last in a single-elimination tournament at the end? The best estimate of how good a team is uses all the available data. I would only weigh NCAA tournament games slightly more highly than...
I find the conference tournament much less meaningful than the regular season. You can't compare an 18-game double round robin to a 3-game 1-and-done. The latter is far less statistically significant. Just being honest...
It's not surprising that numerous posters would immediately blame/suspect the neighbor of overreacting. There is a large segment of sports fan culture than consists of individuals who thrive on constant energy and excitement, and who have corresponding personalities that do not permit them to...
It's a very common misconception that teams that lose ought to move down and teams that win ought to move up. The truth is that the polls are ranking systems, not rating systems. Even if a team's perceived absolute strength (rating) goes down when they lose and up when they win (actually, this...
If you go to College Basketball Ranking Composite you will see that Kenpom has an overall ranking violation (frequency of a higher ranked team losing) of 24.8%, but a Top 25 ranking violation of 40%. The best rankings in terms of having low violation frequency seems to be Wilson. Of course...
St. Mary's is unranked by the AP and Coaches, but they probably shouldn't be. They're 8-0 and #17 in the computer composite (College Basketball Ranking Composite), and no lower than #32 by any computer. I'm guessing #17 might be a little generous, since early in the season being undefeated is a...