Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

With that many teams and unbalanced schedules, even a championship game doesn't really do a great job of determining that champion.
Very fair point but with the expanded playoff you can’t really do a mini 4 team tournament so it’s the best option.
 
Pitt won the ACC in Football two years ago and are going to win it in MBB this year.

Pitt is one of the best realistic possibilities for future Big 12 and a reason to not go overboard with adding Pac teams unless they truly grow the conference in meaningful ways.
- New high population state, new high population metro
- Big Ten likely not interested already having top brand in state
- I doubt SEC interested
- Solid history in both major sports
- Natural/historic/geographic rivals with WVU. Some history with Cincy.
- It's a pro sports town but at least it's a sports fan region. A few of the Pac leftovers are areas where nobody really cares about any sports on a per person average.
- NFL town but one of the biggest in USA with no NBA team...now they can have the premier basketball conference.

It's after Pitt looking at the likely SEC/Big Ten leftovers where it gets interesting trying to select the next handful over each other. Pitt is the likely ACC leftover where I see no real negatives or no real issue with fit.
 
Umm to determine the conference champion? When you have that many teams you’re going to have an unbalanced schedule. Just like if Iowa went undefeated in the west you would want them to have to play a championship game because they played no one in the west. Beat two records play in the championship game, winner is the champion. It’s what the big ten will do in 2024 and it just makes sense
Whether the CFP is either 12 or 16 teams there will basically be a guaranteed number of teams from respective conferences. I can’t remember if it was in this thread or Twitter but seedings would be determined by the committee’s CFP rankings. I really think CCGs are going the way of the dinosaur.
 
Whether the CFP is either 12 or 16 teams there will basically be a guaranteed number of teams from respective conferences. I can’t remember if it was in this thread or Twitter but seedings would be determined by the committee’s CFP rankings. I really think CCGs are going the way of the dinosaur.
I'd much rather see a bigger tournament, and having one less game allows for that in terms of wear and tear on the players.
 
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Canzano writes another makebelieve piece about the PAC 12 being in a great spot and Scheer craps all over it. Pretty much a weekly occurrence. And it never isn’t funny.


Canzano and the George Kliavkoff propaganda machine right now:

animal-house-kevin-bacon.gif
 
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Canzano writes another makebelieve piece about the PAC 12 being in a great spot and Scheer craps all over it. Pretty much a weekly occurrence. And it never isn’t funny.



Just for fun, let's say his make believe piece:

They are adding SMU, SDSU, Colorado State and a fourth?
- they won't triple down on Colorado with Air Force
- Boise State? Seems it would have to be
 
There were times it looked like OKSt and KU had lifeboats while ISU and KSU had none. Maybe throw in Baylor with us back when the Pac was toying with Tech tagging along with Texas and the OK schools.

WSU and Ore St are in worst position possible now but ISU/KSU have been exactly there.
ya and it sucks. I feel bad for them, this whole crap could have been stopped with a competent NCAA leader it could have been mitigated. But here we are.
 
Whether the CFP is either 12 or 16 teams there will basically be a guaranteed number of teams from respective conferences. I can’t remember if it was in this thread or Twitter but seedings would be determined by the committee’s CFP rankings. I really think CCGs are going the way of the dinosaur.
They are but there is still going to be a conference champion and that is proven by the ccg these days. There has been zero talk of them going away
 
You didn’t respond to the scenario I laid out. Not even close.
hmm, let me try again.

Espn wants consolidation for a reason. It does add to valuations. More efficient cost structure.
Sure, this can be true.
But espn solving the ACC issue only gets more difficult as GOR expiration approaches. They risk losing substantial market share to Fox and Co if ACC schools are free agents.
ESPN has the SEC now, and Fox has the B10, but the B10, SEC and B12 all go back to market well ahead of the ACC. That's an incentive to sit on the ACC until those deals shake out, or move ACC teams as part of those deals to ensure they end up in a conference ESPN owns.
And with only being on hook for $20 million of P5 additions to B12, if they were to move 8 ACC schools to Big 12, they shed costs in the long run. Getting Fox or another network to help make ACzc whole
Where are you getting that $20m figure? ESPN has 1/3rd of the B12 deal, so ~$10m/year/school. That'd be ~$80m by my math. Fox has the other 2/3rds, but no automatic escalator clause, so they'd have to be on board with putting up another ~$160m per year to the B12 to keep things equal, otherwise the B12's probably not on board.

Would FSU, Clemson and others with B10/SEC hopes go along with this to begin with? Seems questionable.

I thought ESPN was doing all this so they don't lose ACC brands, but now they're giving 2/3rds of those rights away to Fox? That seems like the opposite of the goal.
Add in repurposing ACC Network into Big 24, expanding the footprint drastically
no ACC for base CFP pay (very good for both P2)

Frees up space for the more premium SEC games on linear, while adding a little more room to Big 12

They lock in ACC premium brands into their premium conference (SEC) well before free agency, and likely slightly at a profit.
Sure, operation efficiencies could offset some of the expenditures, as could increased values. It's helps, but we're digging a pretty big hole. I'm sure the SEC and B10 would love to divvy up the ACC's cut of the CFP money, but that doesn't help ESPN any.

Wait, now we're adding some schools to the SEC instead of all 8 of them going to the B12? That makes more sense, but now we're back to another issue: putting 4 in the B12 would run about $40m per year, and 4 to the SEC would be $204m. Even a 6 to the B12 and 2 to the SEC would total $162m. The current price tag for those 8 is still $136m a year in the ACC.

I'm not able to figure out how ESPN comes out ahead in this. And you haven't addressed the 6 left behind schools, who I guess just all were fine with walking away from a power conference membership and ~$17m+ a year between their ESPN deal and CFP money? Maybe you're hoping they're just nice and will go away if nobody wants them?
 
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I looked at the average viewer numbers on the different networks in different timeslots, and I think that there is demand for about 5-6 huge games per week and then about as many more medium games per week. Defining huge as 5M+ viewers and medium as 2.5M+ viewers.

So really, having 20-24 teams is probably enough; after that you are out of prime real estate and get lower quality games too. It would also probably concentrate the casual fans and increase those typical viewer numbers too, bringing added value to advertisers. Remember value of game is not linear to viewer numbers, its more exponential-ish.

Honestly, I hope its only 20. The more left in the 2nd tier the better for all left behind.
But that’s the problem with 20-24 teams. The games that consist of those matchups are huge for two reasons.

1. Almost always those teams are toward the top of their conferences, playing for SOMETHING. In a 24 team league now you have a lot of games where those teams will have losing records, playing for NOTHING. History tells us without exception of big name schools are having down years and playing meaningless games the viewership ranks.
2. Those games draw huge numbers because you’ve got fans of 40 other teams that are playing in the same league, some teams jockeying for rankings, playoff and bowl position. Take that away and how many tune out? I will. I watch other college football because I’m a fan of ISU. A lot of fans whose CFB fandom is invested in a team outside the 24 are going to largely tune out. How many and to what extent is the question.

Attendance and ratings suggest banking on growth in net CFB fandom is a terrible idea. So the question becomes how much do you lose due to the scenarios above.

The smart move is to keep the others around and invested. At a discount for the media partners, at a limited number of playoff spots for the SEC and Big 10. Blocking them out will crush the media value of the sport over time.
 
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ya and it sucks. I feel bad for them, this whole crap could have been stopped with a competent NCAA leader it could have been mitigated. But here we are.
Yup. The networks love it that the conferences bargain individually rather than collectively as a group. The overall pot could be way greater with the leverage of the P5 leagues together. Now you get teams transferring from P5 to P5.
 
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Yup. The networks love it that the conferences bargain individually rather than collectively as a group. The overall pot could be way greater with the leverage of the P5 leagues together. Now you get teams transferring from P5 to P5.

Ya it will eventually ruin CFB. But I will still watch. Its a shame every conference couldn't stay regional.
 
Yup. The networks love it that the conferences bargain individually rather than collectively as a group. The overall pot could be way greater with the leverage of the P5 leagues together. Now you get teams transferring from P5 to P5.
Even a smaller merger, like the original big 12 and the original pac 12 back in 2010, probably could have gone a long way. Having the rights to just about everything worthwhile west of the mississippi would have been a pretty valuable product. Merge the business entities to negotiate the overall media contract, operate them as if they are still separate conferences with some scheduling deals.

Alas greed came into play and options like that fell apart
 
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