Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

If the super league of 24 happened I jotted down these as first in line and the fringers.

ND
USC
UCLA
OU
Washington
Oregon
Texas
Okie
A mini surprise team like TCU if they make another championship or so,
Clemson
FSU
NC
Miami
Bama
A&M
Tenn
Auburn
Florida
Ga
LSU
Mich
PSU
Ohio State

That leaves two openings for fringe teams:

Nebraska, Maryland, Wisconsin, Virginia, VT, Duke, Pitt, Kentucky, Mizzou, Arkansas, Iowa.

Just a quick throw together that I had. Not sure what current events you are thinking (I don't watch the news much) and if it's politics, I won't go there as I'm tired of the everything is politics stuff, but will say I think the states biggest issue is the same thing that ISU has as issue with. Iowa is full of very cheap individuals. They don't donate anything in comparison. They think $20 is a solid donation, whereas most others will throw a C-note as a pocket change type donation.
I'm referring to politics. I don't want to discuss it in here either which is why I danced around it.

Cheap donors is a big problem. Midwestern frugality just doesn't lend itself to dumping a bunch of money into entertainment.
 
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One thing that will help them is B1G vs SEC balance. SEC has at least 9 quality brands that will for sure make a SuperLeague (Bama, GA, LSU, FL, OU, UT, Tenn, Auburn, A&M). B1G only has 5 for sure (OSU, UM, PSU, USC, UCLA), but has about 4 more that are close (Wisky, Nebby, Iowa, Mich St).

One thing that will hurt them is Nebby and Wisky are in front of them in line, and does a SuperLeague really want 3 teams in 3 small population states? Another thing that might hurt is if UO and UW are in the B1G when this happens, then the balance argument above is less of a thing.

I think 20 teams, Iowa does NOT make the cut. 24 teams, its 50/50. 30-32 teams, they are in for sure. They have a strong brand nationally (see link), regardless of all the other things.

Branding
This is 2 years old, but his criteria seem pretty decent to me.
That list is very big ten heavy. Any one who doesn't have ND as the most valuable FB team out there is smoking dope. Its the only team that can negotiate their own TV deal and have some poor teams that they play.
 
That list is very big ten heavy. Any one who doesn't have ND as the most valuable FB team out there is smoking dope. Its the only team that can negotiate their own TV deal and have some poor teams that they play.

Agree/Disagree. They are the only school in a position to negotiate their own TV deal. Alabama, tOSU, Michigan could also do it if they were in the same position as ND.
 
If the super league of 24 happened I jotted down these as first in line and the fringers.

ND
USC
UCLA
OU
Washington
Oregon
Texas
Okie
A mini surprise team like TCU if they make another championship or so,
Clemson
FSU
NC
Miami
Bama
A&M
Tenn
Auburn
Florida
Ga
LSU
Mich
PSU
Ohio State

That leaves two openings for fringe teams:

Nebraska, Maryland, Wisconsin, Virginia, VT, Duke, Pitt, Kentucky, Mizzou, Arkansas, Iowa.
I came up with something VERY similar. I think you have Oklahoma on there twice (OkSt isn't getting in). And I would put UNC in the "maybe" pile. The top 20 is pretty easy; but the next 4 there are probably 6-10 possibles that are not very differentiated.

Hopefully they will just go with 20, and then we can have COLLEGE football back with about 50 teams nationwide. Although in 10 years I will be 60 and probably won't gaf anymore.
 
I came up with something VERY similar. I think you have Oklahoma on there twice (OkSt isn't getting in). And I would put UNC in the "maybe" pile. The top 20 is pretty easy; but the next 4 there are probably 6-10 possibles that are not very differentiated.

Hopefully they will just go with 20, and then we can have COLLEGE football back with about 50 teams nationwide. Although in 10 years I will be 60 and probably won't gaf anymore.
Whoops, Yeah I accidentally dropped either oklahoma or Oregon in there twice. I said two opening and with the double it shows 23 so the teams work if you just delete my double up. I went by conference and went with, okay, lets say they are determined to have 24, who are the tops. I know throwing teams like Maryland and Mizzou in there as maybes sounds wild, but they have much larger populations and if they start to establish themselves it helps, and we know the college sports still has politics involved, so you could see a little of that.
 
That list is very big ten heavy. Any one who doesn't have ND as the most valuable FB team out there is smoking dope. Its the only team that can negotiate their own TV deal and have some poor teams that they play.
Yeah it is, but it is even more SEC heavy. But that's where the interest is, fans and television, and thus money.
ND is a big fish. Would be interesting to see what would shake out if they turned down a SuperLeague, wanted to be traditional/proud and stayed in the "college" football level.
 
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Yeah it is, but it is even more SEC heavy. But that's where the interest is, fans and television, and thus money.
ND is a big fish. Would be interesting to see what would shake out if they turned down a SuperLeague, wanted to be traditional/proud and stayed in the "college" football level.
I would assume a super league would involve direct pay to play, and I would also think it would be like a conference membership so ND would no longer be an independent. It may then also be possible that the super league doesn't play teams outside the super league. I can see ND turning down membership as a result of things like that. They really value their independence and traditional rivalries. I also get the impression they aren't too interested in paying players, even if they have the financial backing to really benefit from it. ND loves tradition.
 
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I have been saying since OuT that the superleague rapture is coming. Listen to the below and understand why, better than I can explain it.

And the objection "someone has to lose" is irrelevant because its TV driving it for high-viewer matchups, it has nothing to do with who wins or loses. One game with 6M viewers is worth a heck of a lot more than 12 games with 0.5M viewers.

Its just a matter of time. ISU will be 2nd tier, and it might be fun enough, honestly. We dont really compete with Bama and Ohio St anyway. The biggest downside is that Iowa is probably even money to make the cut; depends how big it is. I think 24 is the number.


No way Iowa makes the cut at 24.

At 32 they are probably in, but could be close depending on politics that will almost certainly happen.

At 48 we are in.

Any more than that and there is no point really except to completely restructure NCAA/P5 etc.
 
“Very real possibility”


Assuming the above relates to noise regarding Oregon and Washington thinking they can get into the B1G once the commissioner situation is set there.
 
It will be interesting to see how much Fox and ESPN raise their carriage rates once this new contract kick in. Providers might start breaking up their packages. I would guess ESPN/Fox demand to be on basic. Something is going to change.
 
My guess would be Arizona.
I guess I just don’t know that any of the 4 corners will leave before Oregon or Washington officially leave (unless the deal the conference brings to the table is materially below the Big 12 or there’s friction from unequal distribution/limited exposure).

Feel like only Oregon and Washington are willing to move before they see numbers on the table (which makes sense, they’d presumably be moving up)- not sure if any of the others are willing to do the same for what may be a lateral move (from their perspective obviously).
 
I guess I just don’t know that any of the 4 corners will leave before Oregon or Washington officially leave (unless the deal the conference brings to the table is materially below the Big 12 or there’s friction from unequal distribution/limited exposure).

Feel like only Oregon and Washington are willing to move before they see numbers on the table (which makes sense, they’d presumably be moving up)- not sure if any of the others are willing to do the same for what may be a lateral move (from their perspective obviously).
Pull a Colorado and move while you have options.
 
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Pull a Colorado and move while you have options.
I agree but it’s easier for us to say that from the outside looking in. Seems like Utah and Colorado are especially reluctant to do so.

I’m also not convinced Utah or Colorado bring any added stability to the league until things shake out with the ACC. I think those two will have wandering eyes for the B1G even if they have to join the Big 12 this next round (that could obviously change if the ACC collapses and then those pieces get carved out and B1G and SEC fill up with their choices should those two be left out inevitably).
 
I guess I just don’t know that any of the 4 corners will leave before Oregon or Washington officially leave (unless the deal the conference brings to the table is materially below the Big 12 or there’s friction from unequal distribution/limited exposure).

Feel like only Oregon and Washington are willing to move before they see numbers on the table (which makes sense, they’d presumably be moving up)- not sure if any of the others are willing to do the same for what may be a lateral move (from their perspective obviously).
If I'm them, and the deal that includes Oregon and Washington (who have been clear that they're out at the first opportunity) isn't as good as a Big 12 deal would be, I'm looking at options. I definitely wouldn't want to sign a subpar deal that hinges upon programs that don't want to be there.

Signing a weaker deal to provide a stable future is one thing. Signing a weaker deal while retaining an unstable pact is quite another.
 
If I'm them, and the deal that includes Oregon and Washington (who have been clear that they're out at the first opportunity) isn't as good as a Big 12 deal would be, I'm looking at options. I definitely wouldn't want to sign a subpar deal that hinges upon programs that don't want to be there.

Signing a weaker deal to provide a stable future is one thing. Signing a weaker deal while retaining an unstable pact is quite another.
I agree with all of that, just saying I don’t think Arizona (or any of the 4 corners) will actually leave before they get to see a hard deal presented on the table.

Whereas I think Jason is implying the conference doesn’t have months to find a deal because there’s a very real possibility a school will leave before then. That’s why I’m thinking he’s referring to Oregon or Washington.
 
If the super league of 24 happened I jotted down these as first in line and the fringers.

ND
USC
UCLA
OU
Washington
Oregon
Texas
Okie
A mini surprise team like TCU if they make another championship or so,
Clemson
FSU
NC
Miami
Bama
A&M
Tenn
Auburn
Florida
Ga
LSU
Mich
PSU
Ohio State

That leaves two openings for fringe teams:

Nebraska, Maryland, Wisconsin, Virginia, VT, Duke, Pitt, Kentucky, Mizzou, Arkansas, Iowa.

Just a quick throw together that I had. Not sure what current events you are thinking (I don't watch the news much) and if it's politics, I won't go there as I'm tired of the everything is politics stuff, but will say I think the states biggest issue is the same thing that ISU has as issue with. Iowa is full of very cheap individuals. They don't donate anything in comparison. They think $20 is a solid donation, whereas most others will throw a C-note as a pocket change type donation.
Wisconsin isn’t a fringe team in terms of TV. They are a really good TV draw, believe it or not. Well ahead of Clemson, UCLA, UNC, Miami, UW and Oregon. They are 100% in a top 24.
 

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