Eh. Texas seems like they're always good for an overperformance in September before falling back down to earth. They might pull an upset here or there but there's a big difference between that and challenging for titles.
Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)
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Eh. Texas seems like they're always good for an overperformance in September before falling back down to earth. They might pull an upset here or there but there's a big difference between that and challenging for titles.
There is over performance and then their is taking bama down to the wire with a backup QB. Will they fall off with ewers out, and their backup banged up, probably but that was still an excellent performance
Latest I had heard was basically no change from our current payout. That would not include Tier 3. Pac-12 is looking at $25M versus our mid 40's.
Likely see more Thursday, Friday, and late night TV slots.
That's pretty much what my "reading of the tea leaves" is feelin' too, ~45m per, that's if everything stays as planned now. I am curious what the Big12 would be worth with more options in the "Big12 after Dark". For example, what numbers could we show to Oregon and Utah if they joined, 50m per 14 members?
Here's my really bad idea for today, which would also never happen.
Teams NOT in the SEC or Big 10 should pre-emptively break away (or threaten to), forming a "second division" under the NCAA. Take the viewership of the 75 ish teams to a new league, with a new single television contract (maybe multiple tv partners). Turn the big 10 and SEC TV contracts into a disaster as they lose viewership, forcing them to re-engage with the new "division" under a newfound harmony and revenue sharing.
Seems to me like with the new playoff format, the TV experts have recognized they need teams (fans) in the big 12, PAC 12, and ACC...ect... to support the viewership and massive TV contracts they gave or will give the big 10 and SEC.
Teams NOT in the SEC or Big 10 should pre-emptively break away (or threaten to), forming a "second division" under the NCAA. Take the viewership of the 75 ish teams to a new league, with a new single television contract (maybe multiple tv partners). Turn the big 10 and SEC TV contracts into a disaster as they lose viewership, forcing them to re-engage with the new "division" under a newfound harmony and revenue sharing.
Seems to me like with the new playoff format, the TV experts have recognized they need teams (fans) in the big 12, PAC 12, and ACC...ect... to support the viewership and massive TV contracts they gave or will give the big 10 and SEC.
The safe word with BF and I is ….. Punt.
How exactly would a breakaway second division turn the B1G and SEC contracts into a disaster and cause them to lose viewership?
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Time will tell. The Longhorns have given OU great games over the last few years. They have beat top tier Big12 teams and then go and lose to KU.
How well their defense plays week-to-week will tell the story if Texas has turned the corner.
If it would be a continuation of current that would mean it would be considered a 50-52 MM payout for a 5-6 year contact. We are slated for around 46 for the last year of this contract.
I agree that if we can maximize the late window. I would expect that number to climb. I also think ISU vs UCF would be a Thursday or Friday night slot as well.
I would really like to see some truth in numbers soon. PAC = X, BIG12 = X+. Just because X+ is greater than X does not = PAC dissolving. JP thought we were done for now. I believe him, he’s really been the only truth and correct throughout. He mentioned the streamers would be big players after OUT left. So I’m expecting nothing to happen in this “cycle”. I still haven’t crapped solid since OUT.
Eh, AD’s aren’t really in these decisions. The presidents make the decisions. He obviously could be one of the AD’s the President loops in, but he also can’t openly say “we are poaching the PAC”. Even the schools/conferences we have seen make moves don’t talk about it until it’s announced.
Understood however - I'm betting Wendy W. is consulting with JP on 100% of all realigniment activity. Wendys vote will either be Jamies vote or at least heavily influenced by.
If they are both hot it would be worth a shot.
The big difference this year that I'm worried about is that they have Gary Patterson.
They've always had talent, but if they have focused and well-coached/schemed talent, that makes all the difference.
Usually they are not well coached or disciplined and give up halfway through the year.
Excluding Campbell's year zero, from 2017 through 2020, he is 3-1 against Patterson. In the two most recent of those games, ISU scored 86 points
We'll see what happens and if it's any difference, but I think a large part of Texas competing with Alabama last week was probably due to Patterson.
Earned a lot of respect for Patterson during those coaches film room broadcasts on ESPN too a couple years ago.
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And 134 in past three games.
44+ scoring average.
Two Campbell-TCU games prior to that were, largely, defensive slugfests.
Patterson wasn’t coaching last year. Quit midseason when TCU was trying to force his “retirement”