***Official 2022 Weather Thread***

[CascadeClone]

If you draw a line from my cousin's house, through my aunt's house, to my uncle's house -- it is PARALLEL to the tornado path. Luckily for all of them, the tornado path was about about 1.5 miles north of that line.

My folks are maybe another mile or 2 south of that.

 

[jsb]

If you draw a line from my cousin's house, through my aunt's house, to my uncle's house -- it is PARALLEL to the tornado path. Luckily for all of them, the tornado path was about about 1.5 miles north of that line.

My folks are maybe another mile or 2 south of that.

In 2000 I was watching out my parents’ picture window during a tornado warning. It was weirdly calm. 1.5 miles down the road houses were being destroyed.

In that same tornado I knew someone who had their house destroyed. 8 years later the house was basically destroyed again in another tornado.

 

[cyfan92]

Praise the high heavens that the snow appears to be dodging central Iowa tonight-tomorrow.

I'm ready for golf season to start

Next week looks fantastic

 

[mynameisjonas]

I’m so disappointed. I have a meeting in Iowa City tomorrow that I do not want to drive over for. The snow was going to give me an excuse to miss it. Now I got nothin…

If you can’t figure out how to get out of a meeting in the Covid era, I got nothing for you.

 

[wxman1]

 

[ISUcyclones11]

 

[somecyguy]

Moving south and east

 

[ScottyP]

I've seen that the movie Twister has been showing up on my channels more frequently lately. The cable networks must be preparing us.

 

[Gorm]

I've seen that the movie Twister has been showing up on my channels more frequently lately. The cable networks must be preparing us.
View attachment 97587

"The suck zone"

 

[ISUcyclones11]

10% tornado chance late Tuesday/early Weds

 

[ISUcyclones11]

Also a massive snowstorm up in ND ...1-2ft of snow going thru Thursday

 

[Gorm]

Going to be very interesting to see how this storm shakes out. Very powerful system.

 

[wxman1]

Here is a good thread from the Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) at Norman NWS.

 

[BoxsterCy]

Flashback to campus, April 10, 1973. Alarm in 2311 Birch Hall went off. Took a look outside and rolled over and went back to sleep. Roommate trudged through the snow to class and back with "No classes". Me, "Gabes, you thought professors were going to get to campus through over a foot of snow?" Turned off I was light on that estimate, think it was more like 18" in Ames.

Turned into a huge in dorm party with people getting kegs from Torks on sleds or, in our case, pushing a car through the snow over and back after Lincoln Way was partly plowed.

 

[Gunnerclone]

10% tornado chance late Tuesday/early Weds

View attachment 97708

I think we’ll see the outlook include a moderate risk zone added in southern iowa down to central Missouri prior to the event with tornado probabilities increasing to the 15% level in that moderate zone.

 

[FDWxMan]

"Especially across Iowa"

Keep an eye on the warm front.

 

[aeroclone]

I think we’ll see the outlook include a moderate risk zone added in southern iowa down to central Missouri prior to the event with tornado probabilities increasing to the 15% level in that moderate zone.

Can someone explain how to interpret a tornado chance in this context? Does 10% mean a 10% likelihood that at least one tornado will hit somewhere in that shaded area? Or does it mean that you could expect that 10% of that area will be under a tornado warning at some point during the storm? Or 10% of that area will actually experience a tornado? I can see several ways one could interpret that number and the expected impact would vary greatly between them.

 

[mred]

Can someone explain how to interpret a tornado chance in this context? Does 10% mean a 10% likelihood that at least one tornado will hit somewhere in that shaded area? Or does it mean that you could expect that 10% of that area will be under a tornado warning at some point during the storm? Or 10% of that area will actually experience a tornado? I can see several ways one could interpret that number and the expected impact would vary greatly between them.

From this site:

SPC Products

Severe weather information from the Storm Prediction Center.

www.spc.noaa.gov

"The probabilistic forecast directly expresses the best estimate of a severe weather event occurring within 25 miles of a point."

 

[ScottyP]

Flashback to campus, April 10, 1973. Alarm in 2311 Birch Hall went off. Took a look outside and rolled over and went back to sleep. Roommate trudged through the snow to class and back with "No classes". Me, "Gabes, you thought professors were going to get to campus through over a foot of snow?" Turned off I was light on that estimate, think it was more like 18" in Ames.

Turned into a huge in dorm party with people getting kegs from Torks on sleds or, in our case, pushing a car through the snow over and back after Lincoln Way was partly plowed.

Thanks for posting Boxster. I'd be curious to hear from some of the "veteran/seasoned" posters on this site if they remember this storm and if they have any stories.

 

[BCClone]

Thanks for posting Boxster. I'd be curious to hear from some of the "veteran/seasoned" posters on this site if they remember this storm and if they have any stories.

I remember excited since I had just turned 1 1/2 a few days before. I probably put on my snowsuit to feed the bottle calves. Got started early back then at work.