Way too light. Remember there's 20 conference games in Big Ten. That would put us at 8-12 in league and conference isn't strong enough this year for that to get a bid combined with a very very mediocre non conference resume.
ISR March to Madness thread
- Thread starter dexterhawk
- Start date
I have a feeling you will be sweating it out.
No, I'm saying should be 4 gimmies, just need a couple more w's from the rest.
Iowa State is a lock with a 7-11 conference record. If we can work our way back to .500 in the Big 12 and win one in KC we're probably looking at a 5/6 seed.
I am enjoying the Iowa fans spin to cling to their NET ranking and overall record. Fran shouldn't change a thing with how he schedules - his fan base embraces it.
As it stands today, their resume in comparison to their NET ranking is one of the biggest head scratchers in the nation.
It really might be the biggest discrepancy between predictive rankings and actual resume of any team in the country. Likely attributable to their 8 games against low major competition. Still bizarre that Iowa did not play in a thanksgiving tournament.
Joe Lunardi's bracket must mirror the NET rankings more closely than others. He has them at a 7 seed despite a weak resume. Most have them as a 9-10 seed as of now.
Iowa held at #24 and ISU dropped three spots to #28. Both teams have work to do to get in at this point.
Iowa dropping one spot for losing to a mediocre Penn State while ISU drops 3 for losing to top 10 KU is a joke.
ISU needs 3 more wins and they’re likely in. 4 and it’s a lock.
The more home conference games ISU loses, the less likely 7-11 seems. Which is still only penciling us in at that point. Would probably be sweating it out on selection Sunday
Calling Penn State mediocre is very kind of you.
I'm guessing Kansas getting blasted at home by Kentucky and then ISU turning around and losing to Kansas without their best player at home didn't help.
I doubt committee will pay any attention to who played or didn't because there was so much of that this year. Iowa State is a lot safer than Iowa at this point. I think it'd take a total collapse for Iowa State to miss the tournament. Iowa actually needs to finish with a winning record rest of year. I do wonder if Big 12/ SEC challenge changes way they view Big 12 at all. I still think it's best conference personally but not as overwhelmingly as before
I'm not sure if it was ever overwhelmingly...just no bad teams.
Every conference fan likes to say 'there are no nights off' and that's generally true because basketball is weird but every conference has teams that a good or marginal team can play poorly against and still win and the B12 this season really doesn't have that....maybe KSU but I'm still not looking at them like they're a 'break' for ISU.
I agree that ISU is a lot safer than Iowa. Would take a Fran level collapse for ISU to miss the tourney at this point.
I think the SEC is the best with the Big 12 coming in a firm second. Then their is a pretty big dropoff to the Big 10 and ACC.
I think you're pretty close but SEC has terrible teams. It probably really depends on that teams schedule in SEC vs Big 12. If you draw Kentucky and Auburn twice probably think you would be better off in B12. If you have weaker one probably prefer your SEC schedule.
My rankings:
Big 12
SEC
Big East/Big Ten
Pac 12
ACC
NET doesn’t take into account things if that nature.
Somehow losing to an 8-9 Penn State team is not as bad though.
That type of stuff just doesn’t make sense but I’m sure Iowa is just an anomaly of the formula this year.