Yeah I mean for kids I doubt they're going to be writing tons of tickets to them.. That makes total sense.
Coronavirus Coronavirus: In-Iowa General Discussion (Not Limited)
- Thread starter Jeremy
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multiple stories in my area as well. I've only seen one story about an actual faker. People who believe anyone who showed symptoms could get a test a few weeks ago are lying. I know up here you had to have travel history for quite a while.
Is this what you mean by flat curve by projections? Read the updated part. Looks like it's just on the cusp in an ideal situation.
https://kwwl.com/2020/03/30/state-b...ns-when-will-iowa-peak-how-does-iowa-compare/
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They aren't counting the people who are being treated but haven't yet tested positive. For example, an organization that I am familiar with is reporting a small number of confirmed Covid cases, but has others being treated that are very likely COVID, but haven't had test results returned yet because they didn't meet requirements. The test takes longer if you don't meet the criteria. Goes to a different lab. That lab's turnaround has been getting shorter, but it's still significantly longer than the state lab where tests are sent if you meet the criteria.
So, we likely have more cases in hospitals being treated, but just no positive test yet
Don't forget that particular website is using technically accurate but factually inaccurate data for it's modeling.
It heavily weighs the fact that the Governor didn't formally close any schools towards Iowa's overall numbers (and need). The reality is that every school in the state is closed, despite no order. But the model assumes that it's business as usual with hundreds of thousands of people attending or working at schools every day.
Iowa should be lower than the projections that site makes, because that site isn't using Iowa's reality in it's matrix.
yeah I don't know what's changed the projection so much but it stuck out to me, especially compared to WI.
Look at the bottom of that page -- it's not original reporting or chart making. It's all from here https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections (and choose Iowa) And yes, I noticed that substantial (my word, not a math or statistical term) change in projected peak tracked data since yesterday. About two weeks later as of today. And now there's a projected bed shortage AND ICU bed shortage on that date.
That's what I thought too but last night on KCRG they reported that about 1,000 ventilators are available in the state. That is great news if true.
No. I wondered the same thing but I compared the currently hospitalized numbers to the discharged and recovering numbers. ( 61 to 63 and 33 to 36) Deaths are listed separately.
Yeah it’s weird. My BIL’s results took 5 days. My youngest daughter said at her hospital they’re getting results in <48 hours. My BIL is in Washington county where it could be a backlog occurring.
Not sure which day you checked, but after we only reported 30some cases on Sunday (decrease from the previous few days), it really dropped its projection for IA. Prior to that I believe it had projected total deaths in the 700s with a peak in late April. Then after the Sunday results, it shifted to under 200 deaths with an April 17th peak. Then Monday we had 88 cases and more deaths and it jumped into the 1,000s with late April peak along with the shortages of beds/ICUs.
Why do they show the schools not being closed? Are my kids supposed to be there right now?
Actually, yes Iowa is a perfect example. According to those stats, at it's worse Iowa will be 11 beds short. However, ICU beds are a concern. 4 days ago, the same site showed ICU beds not being short in Iowa.
Go take a look at New York and you'll see a good example of not flattening the curve.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
Go take a look at New York and you'll see a good example of not flattening the curve.
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
does this assume literally every available bed is being allotted to just corona?
right and I noted that in my post.
It was probably around the last time it was brought up in here or one of the other places. It's a bad time looking at NY's numbers. That makes more sense though if you had some change over the weekend.
Interesting projections. Shows more total deaths for Iowa than my more populated Minnesota.
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