Massey Ratings have ISU going 4-8

[Bardman]

I don’t use these ratings very often but I find it interesting he predicts the record to finish at 4-8. He projects wins vs ULM and Baylor, 6 consecutive losses, a win vs Kansas, and then a loss to K-State to finish the year. Take into consideration the margin on the losses are very tight.
Not posting to overreact, but I think we can all agree the bottom of the big 12 is stronger than we thought it would be and there are no gimmes on the schedule after ULM.

https://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3554&s=308075

 

[2forISU]

Big12 looks to be stronger then people thought. OSU, KSU, TCU and Baylor all look to be improved from last year.

 

[Gunnerclone]

Ya dogg, it’s the Big 12. Every year pre-season the media ***** all over it and the fans eat it up. At the same time they hype how difficult the Big Ten west is going to be and fans eat that **** up to. Then we get to week 3 or 4 and “oh ****!” The Big 12 is a gauntlet and the Big Ten West is way overrated. Wash, rinse, repeat.

 

[Statefan10]

View attachment 66928

I don’t use these ratings very often but I find it interesting he predicts the record to finish at 4-8. He projects wins vs ULM and Baylor, 6 consecutive losses, a win vs Kansas, and then a loss to K-State to finish the year. Take into consideration the margin on the losses are very tight.
Not posting to overreact, but I think we can all agree the bottom of the big 12 is stronger than we thought it would be and there are no gimmes on the schedule after ULM.

https://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=3554&s=308075

I'm pretty sure before the season started some of the games on here that are close were all barely above 50%. Baylor, TCU, TTU, Okie State, and KSU were all between 50-60%.

 

[gocy444]

The last two years we started 2-2 and 1-3. We have a very real chance at heading into October 3-1. Campbell’s teams have shown (even in year 1) they get substantially better as the year goes on. Not worried at all.

 

[Dr.bannedman]

damn, shut it down

 

[SoapyCy]

I feel like we went through this same thing in like 2012ish (?) Non-stop preseason hype and the usual outcome.

 

[Sigmapolis]

I feel like we went through this same thing in like 2012ish (?) Non-stop preseason hype and the usual outcome.

I doubt I will ever be unhappy if we go at least 6-6.

We have a long history to consider.

Do not get me wrong -- I want more -- but the postseason is the postseason.

DM and HB were dudes. We miss 'em.

 

[cyclonedave25]

Funny. If one penalty doesn’t get called late in the Iowa game, it probably would have projected us to go 9-3. A lot of these things are so reactionary.

 

[Lemmiwinks]

ISU's defense will win them enough to get them bowling. If the offense can get it figured out they should be in the 8 win range pretty easy.

 

[Statefan10]

I doubt I will ever be unhappy if we go at least 6-6.

We have a long history to consider.

Do not get me wrong -- I want more -- but the postseason is the postseason.

DM and HB were dudes. We miss 'em.

I think if our offense and special teams doesn't figure out the little things, 6-6 is where this season is trending. I do think if we clean those things up we're looking at an 8-4, 9-3 finish.

 

[JM4CY]

All this tells me is this Massey guy doesn’t know sh*t.

 

[Daserop]

If this team doesn't get over the mistake / turnover bug, I can see it. It's been a common theme the past two games.

 

[CyCloned]

A lot of bad things could happen and ISU might end up with 4 wins. Not very likely with the quality of defense that they have.

I get more concerned about teams that HAVE to score 40 to win any game than a team that needs to get into the 20s to win.

 

[DeereClone]

We haven’t looked great so far and the middle of the Big 12 has performed much better than expected, so it’s not that surprising to me. The margin between 3 and 8 in the conference is very thin this year.

 

[Clonehomer]

WVU has looked like hot garbage so far. How do we have roughly the same chance to beat them than Texas?

 

[awd4cy]

Interesting. To me Baylor is one of the games I think we are least likely to win. I don’t see us losing at Tech, at West Virginia, or Oklahoma State at home.

 

[Statefan10]

We haven’t looked great so far and the middle of the Big 12 has performed much better than expected, so it’s not that surprising to me. The margin between 3 and 8 in the conference is very thin this year.

This is true however we just played undoubtedly the best non-conference opponent compared to TCU, OSU, Baylor, TTU, and KSU's. That's tough to win on the road against Mississippi State, but Iowa is much better than Mississippi State this year. If we would've won the Iowa game, all of these percentages would be flipped.

If we go into the TCU game 3-1, all of the hype will be back that was here to start the season and that includes those working for the national media.

 

[Bardman]

WVU has looked like hot garbage so far. How do we have roughly the same chance to beat them than Texas?

He has WVU ranked 27 and only gives ISU a 36% chance to win! That’s the biggest head scratcher on there for me. The rest of the games (besides OU and Texas) are toss ups—which is a fair projection at this point.

 

[jpete24]

36% win probability at WVU??? Seriously? WVU will be in last place by the end of the year. I'm calling it.