So you're telling me there's a chance...

I would love to just get to the Big 12 Championship game. That loss to TCU is going to sting for awhile. The Iowa loss hurts, but the team was complete out of sync on offense in that game. Need for some other teams to lose to even get close to sniffing that game.
 
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I think it reads as a 4% chance at winning the conference and less than 1% chance to make CFP. So yes, this is a perfect Lloyd Christmas moment.

Nope. 82% chance to win conference, 4% to make CFP.

Edit: 62% conf. My eyes are bad. :D
 
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Obligatory . . .

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Last year Auburn and ISU were the 2 loss teams (5-2) with the best chance of making the playoffs. Auburn went to 10-2 and would have made the playoff if they had beat Georgia in the SEC championship.
 
If you click on Iowa and Iowa State both winning out, you literally break the system.
lol, you're right. I just looked a little closer at something else on that page. If you sort by ELO rating, we're at #24 and right in the middle of the pack. I like the ELO ranking system.
 
After this weekend, what percentage chance does ISU have of making the Big XII title game?
Obviously we have to win out to have any chance whatsoever.

We'd have the tiebreaker on Texas, so we'd need Oklahoma and TCU to both get one more loss.

Anyone check my math on this?
 

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