A standard number of cupcakes, but Maui adds an element to the schedule we haven't encountered in years.
Non Con Schedule
- Thread starter rholtgraves
- Start date
I’m glad they have a game to “get the rust out” before playing Missouri. It would be crummy to lose to the Tigers again this season, so I hope this helps the team get ready.
Net rating per 100 for the teams on our schedule this year from last year...
Our weighted expected opponent has a net rating per 100 of...
= 14.49
Roughly equivalent to the following teams last season...
Rk School Conf ORtg DRtg NRtg
65 Georgia SEC 106.59 91.63 14.96
66 Indiana Big Ten 109.52 94.63 14.89
67 St. John's (NY) Big East 106.38 91.5 14.87
68 Old Dominion CUSA 107.14 92.6 14.55
69 Northwestern Big Ten 109.91 95.53 14.38
70 Southern Methodist AAC 110.82 96.55 14.27
Here is just the Big 12...
Rk School Conf ORtg DRtg NRtg
7 Kansas Big 12 122.39 91.96 30.43
9 West Virginia Big 12 119.29 91.07 28.22
11 Texas Tech Big 12 113.74 85.68 28.06
23 Texas Christian Big 12 120.04 96.55 23.49
32 Baylor Big 12 112.3 91.36 20.93
38 Texas Big 12 110.26 90 20.26
42 Oklahoma Big 12 115.96 96.7 19.26
44 Kansas State Big 12 110.73 91.61 19.12
48 Oklahoma State Big 12 111.54 93.53 18.01
89 Iowa State Big 12 109.5 99.05 10.44
Average net rating = 21.82
Anybody want to see anything else?
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I like the closed door scrimmage against another D1 team but I think there’s also a benefit to playing in front of a crowd as an exhibition.
In Maui, the path would likely be:
Arizona
Gonzaga
Duke or Auburn
So from what you said, that’s 2 losses
I'll guess 10-3 in the non-con. 9-9 in Big 12 play.
19-12 heading into KC.
19-12 heading into KC.
I guess
I guess I have to study up on who's gone and who's returning because I wasn't thinking WVU and TTU would be so heralded ahead of the season. Both lost some studs, as I recall.
If we got through the non-con with only 3 losses, I could live with that. We could end up Top-4 in the conference but a lot of things have to come together for that to happen.
Good work. Thanks for that.
I guess I have to study up on who's gone and who's returning because I wasn't thinking WVU and TTU would be so heralded ahead of the season. Both lost some studs, as I recall.
If we got through the non-con with only 3 losses, I could live with that. We could end up Top-4 in the conference but a lot of things have to come together for that to happen.
This site...
http://www.barttorvik.com/team.php?team=Iowa+St.&year=2019
Projects team efficiencies and accounts for roster changes/typical development arcs.
Here are their rankings of our opponents, projected spreads, projected results, and projected win percentages before projecting our record.
**they are missing the second and third games in Maui because they are not sure about our potential opponent, so assume we split those to go...
18-13 (9-9)
**or maybe, assuming we win the Maui event, 19-12 (9-9)
That is the CV of a bubble team. We would need a game or two in Kansas City to be absolutely certain on Selection Sunday. I think it is showing that our OOC and conference schedule is meaty enough, though, that we could sustain four loses before starting the Big 12 season and only go 500 in conference and still find ourselves in the tournament.
Here is how they project the Big 12...
Here is what they compare our projected CV to...
Everybody made it!
We project on the 8-10 line right now.
CycloneErik
Well-Known Member
My prediction is pretty close to yours. Think we’ll be a bubble team that might need a win in the big 12 tourney to get in
If history is any indication, 9-9 in the Big 12 won't even be sweating it come selection Sunday.
It's mjhavlo, he/she predicts doom and gloom every season.
If we get out of Maui unscathed I'll be more concerned about winning the Big XII than an undefeated non-con.