Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
I don't write the algorithms. I just use them.
I don't write the algorithms. I just use them.
Seemingly never ending Iowa MBB thread (still going.....)
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Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
The distance between Iowa and ISU is greater than wvu and KU.
And that's not a knock. Wvu is playing live the best team in the conference, and KU had been struggling (by their standards).
The distance between Iowa and ISU is greater than wvu and KU.
And that's not a knock. Wvu is playing live the best team in the conference, and KU had been struggling (by their standards).
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
Well, if you're in to gambling then you know spreads are a reflection of public perception to get equal action on both sides. It's not a true handicapping of the game. The public is pretty stupid, especially when hawk fans are involved.
Well, if you're in to gambling then you know spreads are a reflection of public perception to get equal action on both sides. It's not a true handicapping of the game. The public is pretty stupid, especially when hawk fans are involved.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
I don't disagree with that. Iowa will be big 10 season champs, have maybe 6 losses by tournament time, and a 1 or 2 seed. Iowa St will hopefully maybe be a 3-6 seed.
But who you putting your money on if both teams are playing at their best?
I don't disagree with that. Iowa will be big 10 season champs, have maybe 6 losses by tournament time, and a 1 or 2 seed. Iowa St will hopefully maybe be a 3-6 seed.
But who you putting your money on if both teams are playing at their best?
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
Fair enough...I have a feeling that line would get bet down tho. It took Uthoff having the shooting night of his life in the first half to make that a 1 point loss for Iowa. I think the second half is more indicative of what the game would be if played again, but thats just my opinion.
Fair enough...I have a feeling that line would get bet down tho. It took Uthoff having the shooting night of his life in the first half to make that a 1 point loss for Iowa. I think the second half is more indicative of what the game would be if played again, but thats just my opinion.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
Can you show me the section on Ken Pomeroys website were his formula incorporates betting tendencies?
Can you show me the section on Ken Pomeroys website were his formula incorporates betting tendencies?
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
I missed where you specified that's what Kenpom had. I'll go back and check your post again. I'm sure it's there somewhere.
I missed where you specified that's what Kenpom had. I'll go back and check your post again. I'm sure it's there somewhere.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
Anyone who pays even slight attention to college hoops should know that Vegas basically uses Pomeroy and Sagarin to set initial lines.
Anyone who pays even slight attention to college hoops should know that Vegas basically uses Pomeroy and Sagarin to set initial lines.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
This isn't true. If it was the sharps would be making a lot more money than they are.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
I agree that they are similar but Vegas was setting lines before KenPom and they would be foolish to trust someone else with creating their lines. They have their own algorithms.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
I'm not serious in this particular case, but they absolutely DO adjust lines for certain teams based on reputation alone.
I'm not serious in this particular case, but they absolutely DO adjust lines for certain teams based on reputation alone.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
Everyone half-azz talented on Iowa's schedule has had injuries this season--always when Iowa plays them.....sans Maryland.....wha-la! Iowa lost to Maryland
Iowa has been very fortunate with their health this season. Jok or Uthoff go down they'll be blown out LOL
Everyone half-azz talented on Iowa's schedule has had injuries this season--always when Iowa plays them.....sans Maryland.....wha-la! Iowa lost to Maryland
Iowa has been very fortunate with their health this season. Jok or Uthoff go down they'll be blown out LOL
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
Im sure Oklahoma would just keep humming along if Buddy got hurt. I'm sure ISU wouldn't miss a beat if Morris or Niang went down. What a stupid argument.
Im sure Oklahoma would just keep humming along if Buddy got hurt. I'm sure ISU wouldn't miss a beat if Morris or Niang went down. What a stupid argument.
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
I wish there was a way to facetiously 'like' posts
I wish there was a way to facetiously 'like' posts
Re: Iowa MBB now a projected #1 seed
I didn't watch the game, but Raphael Davis is also one of the Big Ten's best perimeter defenders.
Bryn Forbes, MSU (14 ppg, 48% FG on the year): 2.5 ppg, 10% FG%, 0-7 3pt in two games
Melo Trimble, Maryland (14.4 ppg, 45% FG% on the year): 11 points, 28% FG%, 2-6 3pt
Andrew White, Nebraska (17.2 ppg, 50.5% FG% on the year): 9 points, 30% FG%
Bryant McIntosh, Northwestern (14.8 ppg, 42.9% FG on the year): 4 points, 33% FG%, 0-1 3pt
Kendrick Nunn, Illinois (16.7 ppg, 42.1% FG% on the year): 6 points, 15.3% FG%, 0-7 3pt
Clemmons was the primary defender for all of those guys. But yeah, I'm sure those poor performances were just a matter of lucky timing for Iowa and they all just had off nights. Clemmons isn't arguably the best perimeter defender in the Big Ten or anything. No, that wouldn't explain it.
I didn't watch the game, but Raphael Davis is also one of the Big Ten's best perimeter defenders.
Bryn Forbes, MSU (14 ppg, 48% FG on the year): 2.5 ppg, 10% FG%, 0-7 3pt in two games
Melo Trimble, Maryland (14.4 ppg, 45% FG% on the year): 11 points, 28% FG%, 2-6 3pt
Andrew White, Nebraska (17.2 ppg, 50.5% FG% on the year): 9 points, 30% FG%
Bryant McIntosh, Northwestern (14.8 ppg, 42.9% FG on the year): 4 points, 33% FG%, 0-1 3pt
Kendrick Nunn, Illinois (16.7 ppg, 42.1% FG% on the year): 6 points, 15.3% FG%, 0-7 3pt
Clemmons was the primary defender for all of those guys. But yeah, I'm sure those poor performances were just a matter of lucky timing for Iowa and they all just had off nights. Clemmons isn't arguably the best perimeter defender in the Big Ten or anything. No, that wouldn't explain it.
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