I know this will sound like more made up speculation, but here goes.
I heard from a guy (banker, real estate, has connections in Des Moines) that he has a friend that plays poker with Fred on Mondays. He said it sounds like 50/50.
Now I don't know how much poker Fred has been playing since his surgery, and I thought it was bogus too. Said Fred was supposed to play last night. No confirmation if he actually played or not.
Take it for what it's worth.
All in on one hand for the near future of ISU hoops.