Katz: If this gigantic shakeup occurs, it's likely not going to be for 2012. The timetable is getting too late for scheduling to make this happen for next fall. I hope -- and I predict -- this turns out more like last summer. Texas A&M moves to the SEC. Someone replaces the Aggies in the Big 12. And then we exhale. I've talked to countless schools and league commissioners and haven't found a single one that really wants to go to a 16-team conference. They only look at it in the prism of, "Well, if it has to happen, then we might as well join or get left behind." But no one really wants to be in such a mess.
Katz makes this sound like a catch 22 but I am not sure the actions of the commissioners is all that innocent. Slive blows smoke at SEC media days to avoid lawsuit, but has been talking to TAM for quite some time in a back room. PAC 12 Commissioner has conference schools expressing a desire to stay at 12. Larry Scott turns deaf ear toward them and goes after OU.