Relevant portion of the NWS discussion:
THURSDAY WL SEE WARMER AIR CONTINUING TO MOVE INTO THE STATE ON SOUTHEAST WINDS.SOUNDINGS IN THE SOUTH REMAIN GENERALLY UNSATURATED AND HAVE LEFTTHE SOUTH DRY. THE BETTER SATURATION PERSIST IN THE NORTH AND HAVE THE THREAT OF FREEZING PCPN INTO THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE PCPN AREA WOULD LIKELY GO TO SPRINKLES AS AFTERNOON
TEMPS RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING. STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT
ARRIVES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS UPPER SYSTEM ADVECTS FROM
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. THE WHOLE SOUNDINGS SATURATE
AND SNOW WILL BECOME PREFERRED PCPN TYPE AS ICE INTRODUCTION BEGINS.
STEADY ISENTROPIC LIFT IS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE A
SURGE OF DRIER AIR COMES IN FROM THE EAST. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OF
2 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN MOST LOCATIONS WITH LIGHTEST AMOUNTS IN
OUR NORTHEAST FROM KALO TO KMCW WHERE SYSTEM WILL BE FIGHTING A DRY
EASTERLY FLOW. HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE WEST AND SOUTH ARE EXPECT AND
MAY END UP BEING A LOW END ADVISORY THERE.
Could actually be a bit low on the amounts as in general the models have trended a towards a moister system over the past few runs.
THURSDAY WL SEE WARMER AIR CONTINUING TO MOVE INTO THE STATE ON SOUTHEAST WINDS.SOUNDINGS IN THE SOUTH REMAIN GENERALLY UNSATURATED AND HAVE LEFTTHE SOUTH DRY. THE BETTER SATURATION PERSIST IN THE NORTH AND HAVE THE THREAT OF FREEZING PCPN INTO THURSDAY...ALTHOUGH SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE PCPN AREA WOULD LIKELY GO TO SPRINKLES AS AFTERNOON
TEMPS RISE SLIGHTLY ABOVE FREEZING. STRONGER ISENTROPIC LIFT
ARRIVES LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS UPPER SYSTEM ADVECTS FROM
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS. THE WHOLE SOUNDINGS SATURATE
AND SNOW WILL BECOME PREFERRED PCPN TYPE AS ICE INTRODUCTION BEGINS.
STEADY ISENTROPIC LIFT IS EXPECTED INTO FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE A
SURGE OF DRIER AIR COMES IN FROM THE EAST. ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OF
2 TO 5 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN MOST LOCATIONS WITH LIGHTEST AMOUNTS IN
OUR NORTHEAST FROM KALO TO KMCW WHERE SYSTEM WILL BE FIGHTING A DRY
EASTERLY FLOW. HIGHER AMOUNTS IN THE WEST AND SOUTH ARE EXPECT AND
MAY END UP BEING A LOW END ADVISORY THERE.
Could actually be a bit low on the amounts as in general the models have trended a towards a moister system over the past few runs.