**Unofficial Confidence Check 2/9/22: Tourney Seed**

[PSYclone22]

Let's check in on fan confidence after the WVU game:

What seed do you think Iowa State men will receive for the NCAA Tournament?

I expect completely and totally rational responses only

 

[JM4CY]

11

 

[dahliaclone]

Out

 

[Cyched]

I’ve been tooting the horn that we’ll get in with the number of quad one wins we have.

Looking more and more like we’ll limp in as a 10 or 11 seed, and possibly a trip to Dayton.

If we lose on Saturday, I’ll probably change my prediction to NIT. Important to remember any postseason appearance is great for TJ’s first year after the past two craptastic voyages.

 

[carvers4math]

NIT unless these guys get a little rest this week before Saturday

 

[NoCreativity]

NIT, this team basically has to go 4-0 at home now. The way they've been playing and considering the competition a 2-2 split would be a miracle and that's nowhere close to a tourney bid.

 

[Clyde4cy]

If we win 3 more we have an excellent chance at the first 4. We still don’t have a single bad loss. Unfortunately those 3 wins may be a bridge to far.

 

[CycloneEggie]

NIT And we should remember last years record and see this as a huge step forward.

 

[NoCreativity]

If we win 3 more we have an excellent chance at the first 4. We still don’t have a single bad loss. Unfortunately those 3 wins may be a bridge to far.

Three isn't going to be enough. That means we either finish 6-12, or 5-13 with a win in Kansas City.
There is no way we are getting an invite with a conference record like that.

 

[Cyinthenorth]

Out and I think NIT is borderline unless they can scrape together at least 2 more wins. I think I'm a non believer again until they can prove to me that they can win again. I'm getting to that point heading into games again feeling similar to how I felt at the end of Prohm's regime, just feelings of absolute hopelessness. Apathy not setting in yet, but if they lose 2 or 3 more in a row, it might.

 

[cyclones500]

Confidence is waning, but I'm hanging with strength of the already accumulated profile.

10 (last four byes)
Last week: 8
Current snapshot: Feels 9-ish, but probably still high 8

 

[CoachHines3]

finish 7-11 and be a 10 seed.

6-12? Eh.. maybe play in game or NIT.

 

[Clyde4cy]

Three isn't going to be enough. That means we either finish 6-12, or 5-13 with a win in Kansas City.
There is no way we are getting an invite with a conference record like that.

I don’t believe that conference record is a component in the selection process. The 3 wins would need to be prior to the big 12 tournament. The committee has shown that Conference tournament wins have less value.

 

[cyclonepower]

Three isn't going to be enough. That means we either finish 6-12, or 5-13 with a win in Kansas City.
There is no way we are getting an invite with a conference record like that.

you need to mess with this tourneycast tool through Barttorvik...i havent had us in a 6-12 scenario where we are even a last four byes...

Teamcast for Iowa St. - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

barttorvik.com

 

[dahliaclone]

you need to mess with this tourneycast tool through Barttorvik...i havent had us in a 6-12 scenario where we are even a last four byes...

Teamcast for Iowa St. - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

barttorvik.com

That's interesting. I put us at 18-14 and 5-13 and it still has us as a play in game. That's shocking to me. Granted, there are a ton of other variables on what other teams around us do, bid stealers, etc.

But 6-12 just might be enough.

 

[Sigmapolis]

#8

 

[NoCreativity]

you need to mess with this tourneycast tool through Barttorvik...i havent had us in a 6-12 scenario where we are even a last four byes...

Teamcast for Iowa St. - Customizable College Basketball Tempo Free Stats - T-Rank

T-Rank College Basketball Ratings and Rankings. And fun.

barttorvik.com

Torvick doesn't have the final say in this stuff. His seedings are usually off and he misses 4 or 5 teams every year for those last spots. Doesn't he still hace UCLA as a 4 or 5 seed on there?
All data aside there is no way we get in at 6-12.

 

[cyclonepower]

Torvick doesn't have the final say in this stuff. His seedings are usually off and he misses 4 or 5 teams every year for those last spots. Doesn't he still hace UCLA as a 4 or 5 seed on there?
All data aside there is no way we get in at 6-12.

what data are you using to see that we dont get in at 6-12....I understand he doesnt have final say but to suggest we have no way of getting in at 6-12 is foolish...i personally dont see it i think we only win 2 more games but just interesting to talk about

 

[CYdTracked]

Based on what I have seen since the 59-44 loss at home to TCU on 1/22 I don't think we'll make the NCAA tournament without winning at least 4 more games. The offense is so bad right now I don't care how good we looked earlier this season the committee also is going to look at how we finished too. We basically need to win out at home because we aren't winning the last game on the road against Baylor and based on how we played TCU I don't see us winning that one on the road either. We had to score 84 to beat OSU in Hilton so I am not optimistic on that one either since we have a hard time winning there most years.

 

[NoCreativity]

what data are you using to see that we dont get in at 6-12....I understand he doesnt have final say but to suggest we have no way of getting in at 6-12 is foolish...i personally dont see it i think we only win 2 more games but just interesting to talk about

I'm not using any data, I'm using common sense. Whats the most games under .500 in their conference that has gotten a bid? Maybe Ohio State at 8-12 in the Big 10?
I'm sorry but 6-12 won't get it done, 7-11 will probably be enough depending on Kansas City also.