Tourney Chances

[spinback32]

Before I get discredited right off that bat, I've been a member here for a long time, I jut usually prefer to be a spectator.

Anyways, my question to everyone on here is; would it really matter if this team went 27-3 or so this year as far as your ncaa tourney confidence goes?

It really doesn't matter as long as you get in. Match ups matter yes, but you can get a bad match up at any seed. Site location helps, but in today's game, it really doesn't matter. Depth matters, but only if your starters can't get it done.

Without looking through every teams results this year, I'd venture to guess we're the only team to have all of our loses come down to the last couple of minutes. Our record,relatively to other top schools this year, isn't great. Maybe our luck will just change ever so slightly in March.

I get it, I take losses as bad as anyone, I live in Cedar Rapids and work in Iowa City, and I'm a passionate fan who goes to a lot of games/tournaments. I spend a lot of time defending ISU from Hawk fans. Especially, in this weird year, where both their fball and bball teams are highly ranked, in large part because of their horrendous conference.

Point is, enjoy the next few weeks (and go to Kansas City if you can, it's a blast). Because once the ncaa tourney starts, a giant reset button is pushed, and we are all 0-0.

 

[fsanford]

This year if you are top 6 seed you have as good a chance as any to get to a final 4.

 

[Spam]

More than seed, there are certain matchups that I'd want to avoid. Don't want a Baylor, for example. Or a West Virginia.

I don't follow other conferences enough to know which other teams are in the avoid category.

 

[Redman97]

Nice post, and I agree. Pressure to win the Big12 should be off now. Hopefully the team will focus on getting better and being their best for March.

 

[CycloneBBFan]

I've said it before but after last Big Monday the so called “NCAA Pundits” seem to think there is any of 30 teams that could go “all the way”. On some levels I agree considering last week the top 25 teams lost a total of 19 games to non ranked teams. It's been a weird year but as with all NCAA tournaments it's the luck of the draw regarding brackets, match ups,talent, a down right luck to make it to the final four and beyond.

 

[allfourcy]

More than seed, there are certain matchups that I'd want to avoid. Don't want a Baylor, for example. Or a West Virginia.

I don't follow other conferences enough to know which other teams are in the avoid category.

Purdue is an avoid example. Not totally sold how good they are. While teams like Maryland and Iowa can matchup with their length down low, the Purdue guard play is nothing special. But even tho we'd take that matchup in the backcourt, Hammonds and Swanigan would eat us alive inside.

 

[Cyclonepride]

Yeah, at this point, just work on improving and get in there. Anything can happen, and there really are no teams that you just have to avoid as an automatic L. I just hope we avoid the really tough inside teams, but seeding isn't going to avoid bad match ups no matter how we finish out. I'd love to see 4-1 to get momentum though.

 

[Thomasrickj]

It's too tough to tell right now because nobody has come out this year as a truly dominant team. Right now the only thing that bothers me is we are probably sitting at a 5 or 6 seed, and that 5-12 matchup is always rough since 12's are usually the best non P5 conference winners or teams that slid in to the bubble and are hot at the right time and 11 seeds are usually solid P5 programs. I don't know if a 3 seed is possible anymore, but if we pull off wins @WVU and @KU and win at least two games in the conference tourney, it just might happen. This team is definitely capable of doing just that, they just need to hit their stride now and start clicking on all cylinders and can close out a game.

 

[intrepid27]

I'd say our tournament success will largely depend on our second (and hopefully fourth) round match ups. with our lack of depth playing on 1 days rest may be an issue. In a perfect situation our first and 3 round games will be slower paced.

 

[Wesley]

Give us two more productive bodies off the bench and like magic we will improve our record. We are like a 427 engine running on regular gas.

 

[Spanky]

.....I don't know if a 3 seed is possible anymore, but if we pull off wins @WVU and @KU and win at least two games in the conference tourney, it just might happen. This team is definitely capable of doing just that........[/QUOTE]



I actually don't think they're capable of doing that. Win 7 in a row over teams like W Vag, OU and Kansas(probably twice)?
Monkeys have been known to fly outta trousers, but I don't see even a remote possibility of that happening.
Hope it does! I can always lube up and buy more pants.

 

[Wesley]

Looks like KU game will be important in the seedings this year.

 

[PLEASEbeatIOWA]

It is wide open. With our style and battle-tested Big 12 schedule, we can compete with anybody.

 

[ISU85]

Our tourney success probably depends on whether our zone defense improves before then. At this point it looks like we're going to play it quite a bit to avoid foul trouble.

 

[cycloneted]

Give us two more productive bodies off the bench and like magic we will improve our record. We are like a 427 engine running on regular gas.

 

[CyKings]

More than seed, there are certain matchups that I'd want to avoid. Don't want a Baylor, for example. Or a West Virginia.

I don't follow other conferences enough to know which other teams are in the avoid category.

Wouldn't be able to play them until the sweet 16 anyways. Possibly elite 8 if we play them a 3rd time in big 12 tournament.

 

[Cycl1]

I think we have the ability to beat anyone. We have beat multiple teams in the top 5 this year. And have wins against 3 teams that at one time were projected as 1 seeds. Matchups will be key. With mckay being a question mark right now, I would not look forward to a match vs a team like north carolina, but as duke showed, you don't need depth or size to beat them.

 

[Gunnerclone]

Nope. It just doesn't matter, and that goes for any team. The regular season is one thing. The tournament is a different thing. Just like the conference regular season title is one thing and the conf tourney title is a different thing.

 

[cyclonepower]

i feel like in the back of my mind I know how its going to go and I just dont want it to be true...I do think we win the first game this year but lose a heartbreaker in the 2nd game

 

[AgronAlum]

I want to be a high enough seed to play a team outside of a power conference in Round 1 (I know, UAB, but hopefully that's an anomaly). After that, it's up for grabs for the 32 left.