The Aggies' total defense is comparable to Texas Tech's in 2010. Both were near 100 out of 120 FBS teams. Texas Tech's offense was very prolific in 2010, but I do think A&M's is better. Nevertheless, I think this game has the feel of that game. I would not predict an ISU victory, but I think it will be a surprisingly competitive game.
I will be interested to see if Herman pushes the tempo, because A&M's defense runs into problems with up-tempo teams. They try to change personnel more than any other team against an up-tempo offense, and it gets them into trouble. A few times per game, they get penalties for 12 or 13 players on the field, and are close a bunch of other times. But, if the tempo does not work, then A&M's offense is on the field a lot more than they need to be -- A&M's offense will get its points. They are just too good with Cyrus Gray and Christine Michael at RB, and Jeff Fuller and Ryan Swope at WR.
A&M likes to blitz, though, so if Herman successfully pushes the tempo, they could be forced into a vanilla defense. There are two reasons for the up-tempo offenses you see today. First, the offense tries to get the defense to go vanilla. By speeding up the tempo, you limit the changes an offense can make. If you do it right, the defense has to be in a base defense. Second, to get more plays for your offense. This only works if you can get first downs. Against the 99th ranked total defense, I think ISU has a good chance to get first downs and score a lot of points.
I am not one who is calling for Herman's head. Herman's playcalling is not the problem. You need to be able to execute. If we execute, we have a good chance -- a lot better than anyone thinks we have.
I will be interested to see if Herman pushes the tempo, because A&M's defense runs into problems with up-tempo teams. They try to change personnel more than any other team against an up-tempo offense, and it gets them into trouble. A few times per game, they get penalties for 12 or 13 players on the field, and are close a bunch of other times. But, if the tempo does not work, then A&M's offense is on the field a lot more than they need to be -- A&M's offense will get its points. They are just too good with Cyrus Gray and Christine Michael at RB, and Jeff Fuller and Ryan Swope at WR.
A&M likes to blitz, though, so if Herman successfully pushes the tempo, they could be forced into a vanilla defense. There are two reasons for the up-tempo offenses you see today. First, the offense tries to get the defense to go vanilla. By speeding up the tempo, you limit the changes an offense can make. If you do it right, the defense has to be in a base defense. Second, to get more plays for your offense. This only works if you can get first downs. Against the 99th ranked total defense, I think ISU has a good chance to get first downs and score a lot of points.
I am not one who is calling for Herman's head. Herman's playcalling is not the problem. You need to be able to execute. If we execute, we have a good chance -- a lot better than anyone thinks we have.