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    Bracketology 2024

    Just for fun, a blind comparison: TEAM 1 TEAM 2 Quad 1A W 5 home W 10 home W 23 away L 3 neutral L 19 neutral W 6 neutral W 10 away W 24 neutral W 34 away L 2 neutral L 36 away Quad 1B W 25 home W 39 neutral W 47 away W 49 away L 23 home L 38 neutral W 22 home W 54 away W 63 away L...
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    *** WBB at Houston (Wed., 7:00) ***

    In conference games, looks like Crooks is up to the number 2 Big XII scorer at 20.1 points/game, just a fraction behind UCF's Kaitlin Peterson at 20.8. Booker from Texas (mentioned upthread) is third at 19.6.
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    ISU up to #6...

    That's '55-'56, not '56-'57.
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    ISU up to #6...

    A week after the win over Kansas and Wilt Chamberlain.
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    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    Finally had a chance to run the conference championship numbers after Saturday's games. TL;DR -- the winner of ISU/Houston has a 90 percent chance of at least tying for the conference title, the loser drops to a one-in-three chance. EXACT SCENARIOS current ISU over TT TT over ISU Houston...
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    Bracketology 2024

    This is not the answer you're going for, but I think it's a very close call. The committee looks at good victories above all, so I think we need to get into the nitty gritty: TEAM A quad 1a quad 1b quad 2a quad 2b win, H 1 win, @ 31 win, @ 37 win, @ 39 loss, @ 9 loss, @ 12 loss, @ 33 win...
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    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    Yep: Exact Scenarios current ISU over TT ISU over TT/UH TT over ISU Houston alone: 58% 55% 11% 70% Houston/ISU tie: 17% 19% 22% 7% ISU alone: 17% 20% 62% 5% Houston/TT tie: 2% <.5% <.5% 6% Houston/TT/ISU tie: 1% 1% 1% 2% TT alone: 1% <.5% <.5% 3% Other: 4% 5% 4% 7%...
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    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    Decided to run a Monte Carlo situation (using Torvik's numbers) to see just how important the Houston game is to the Big 12 Championship race. First column is current chances, second column is odds if ISU beats Houston, third column is odds if Houston beats ISU. Not looking at tiebreakers, just...
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    What If - Sweet 16 and Title Chance or Final 4

    Never mind, I take it all back, if I get to remember which option I pick, I'll go Final Four and Biff Tannen my way to a couple million dollars in Vegas.
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    What If - Sweet 16 and Title Chance or Final 4

    I'm no doubt thinking about this the wrong way, but for me it depends on the mechanics of the actual wish granting. If Blue Animated Robin Williams came to me today and said, "Hey, these are your two options, and then right after you choose, you'll forget this conversation ever happened," I'd...
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    Bracketology 2024

    Less that then some sizable wins over good teams (20 over Butler, 24 over Baylor on a neutral court, 12 over Indiana St.) and decent, NET top 100 teams (31 over Penn State, 18 over Rutgers, etc.).
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    T J

    I've been thinking about this sentence all day. Specifically: How many teams are there that get to the Elite 8 every 5 years or so, and maybe the Final Four every 10? So, I ran the numbers on the last 10 NCAAs. There were 18 teams that got to at least 1 FF and 2 EEs: Villlanova (3 FFs, 3 EEs)...
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    *** WBB at UCF (Sat., 11:00 CT) ***

    Looking at Massey's WBB computer rankings, UCF hasn't been a horrible defensive team this season, but they have been one of the worst P5 offensive teams. I'd say that's borne out so far.
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    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    Not a KP subscriber, but working out the math, ISU would be about a half-point favorite on a neutral court, which puts them as maybe an underdog by 2.5 or 3 points in KP.
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    WBB: Audi Crooks sets career high for third-straight game in Cyclones' return to win column

    How about the last eight? Or last four, although this one might be slightly unrealistic:
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    Tax Software

    Ditto -- I've used FreeTaxUSA since, apparently, the 2017 tax year. My taxes have self-employment, backdoor Roths, and a couple other slightly unusual aspects, and I haven't had any issues. If you can do taxes fairly independently, it's nice, cheap software.
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    Cyclones attending University of Central Florida game?

    My freshman UCF son lives literally directly across the street from their basketball arena and two blocks from the football stadium. But he's so sports-apathetic that he'll probably never attend a UCF game during his time there. What a waste of his primo location.
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    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    ISU to make Final Four is +900 on Draft Kings, which is 9-1. They're 35-1 to win the whole thing. After yesterday Iowa State is up to second-most-likely to win the Big 12 on DK, at 11-2 odds. Houston is the prohibitive favorite, though, at 4-7.
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    Iowa State Men's Basketball Rankings 2023-24

    Looking at KenPom, which Vegas lines hew pretty close to, ISU would be a 6.5-7 point favorite over Memphis on a neutral floor.