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  1. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I think the cracks might start to show if the next B10 deal (2030?) isn’t richer than the current, and will pick up speed if the SEC’s isn’t (2034?). It’s Important to note, I don’t believe either conference has a GOR.
  2. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I’d expect the ACC to play hardball with FSU or any others that want to leave. The ACC doesn’t have to sell their rights back, nobody could make them. We’re probably on two ends of the spectrum on this. I could see one spot where the ACC might be willing to negotiate something - if FSU can...
  3. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I think it's just laying the ground work. Between new media deals (B10, SEC, B12) CFP expansion, the new CFP media deal in a few years, the new NCAA tourney media deal, everyone's seeing their revenue increase pretty quickly. While it's good for now, it's going to be hard replicating those...
  4. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    How much do you think the ACC schools would have to pay to get out? I walked through the numbers and I think they’d have to put up close to $500M each. Buyout fee, media rights from ESPN & ACC Network, damages to other institutions, etc etc. How much additional income do you think those...
  5. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I think by “enough” you mean the whole MWC. Anyone left out is absolutely going to sue claiming that some (or all) the schools that go to the PAC had a conflict of interest when they voted to dissolve. And they’ll win. Also, the PAC still doesn’t have a media deal. What are those AAC or MWC...
  6. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    The numbers simply don’t work out. FSU’s noise is all about trying to squeeze the ACC to get a bigger slice of the pie. I’m curious just how eager the ACC will be to try to placate them (or others) since the schools really have no leverage and will leave at the end of the GOR either way.
  7. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Yeah, the GOR gives the ACC all media rights. A school can leave, but the ACC gets the media money through the end of the GOR unless they buy their rights back. There’s also no stipulated value of those rights or a procedure to buy them back, so low end would be what they’re getting in the ACC...
  8. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    $300M is very, very optimistic. There’s the $120M exit fee and 11 years of media rights (2025-26 to 2035-36). ESPN’s paying the ACC $17M/, so you’re at $308M right there. The ACC has their network on top of that $17M. I’m not sure what the breakdown is, but maybe $10M/? And the schools leaving...
  9. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Wow, landing the Holiday Bowl might make all the pro-SDSU people finally give that a rest.
  10. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Not only same day, but pretty much for one shift. Everyone else (at least at the P5 level) has been 1S and 2s since the B12 was formed.
  11. exCyDing

    Grading Brett Yormark's First Year

    SDSU has no fans. Utah does. Unless you move the school, change San Diego culture, or get a B12 Network that has the backing, reach and carriage fees the B10 Network did 10 years ago, this take will never be true.
  12. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    How long does the ABOR let Crow dither on making this official? "Staying in the PAC" isn't really an option if there is no PAC.
  13. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Wouldn't be shocking if they were all working together to get what they want. WA and OR wanted in the B12, AZ wanted ASU and Utah to get on board with moving to the B12 (or at least get ASU out of their way).
  14. exCyDing

    Zaid Abdul-Aziz interview

    I got to meet Ziad a couple of times at gamewatches in Seattle. I've got to be honest, I had no idea who he was prior to meeting him. He's a very kind, gentle and unassuming man. The next time he came to watch a game, he brought a stack of his autobiography to give away as raffle prizes.
  15. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    The problem is, each conference and school is looking out for themselves and their own best interests. Same could be said for the networks. The NCAA doesn't provide a framework by where it's looking out for the overall interest of the sport(s). To get that, first, conferences are going to have...
  16. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    It’s possible the B12 still poaches from the PAC. No really, hear me out. The Angry 8 stick together because they still have a media deal through 2024-25. The B10 and SEC aren’t targeting any of the Angry 8, it sure seems like the ACC can’t add anyone else with their GOR, so that leaves the...
  17. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    George Kliavkoff taking over as both head of ESPN and head of the ACC.
  18. exCyDing

    Where do ACC schools go (when that conference dies)

    B10/SEC Lock B10: UNC, FSU/Miami, UVA, other of FSU/Miami SEC: UNC, UVA, FSU, Miami, Clemson Same list (mostly), different conference priorities. The B10 will try to get into Florida, the SEC might try to keep them out. SEC needs to grow it's footprint (so FSU, Miami and Clemson are slightly...
  19. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    It's easy to underestimate just how far it is between the Seattle and LA, it's basically the same as Dallas to Duluth. LA to Seattle: 960 miles LA to Lincoln, NE: 1,269 miles
  20. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I could see the MWC dissolving and joining the PAC as a group and MWC leadership taking the helm. The PAC has better CFP access than the MWC (for the rest of the current deal) and better bowl agreements (for however long those run) in addition to the better brand and history. The main...
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