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  1. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    More importantly, how would the B10 make that money back, much less see a return on their "investment"? Same question for one of the networks ponying up the cash. The schools are unlikely to be able to scrounge up a couple $100 million to make it happen in the first place. That's where "buy...
  2. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Yes, but what are the media rights worth? The GOR doesn't spell that out. Are they worth the $17M the ACC pays out, or the whatever their new conference pays out? Since it's not stipulated, the price could be whatever they would have made in the ACC between now and the 2035 football season or...
  3. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I was thinking of the “next Texas” in the context of always pushing for preferential treatment under the threat of leaving, and often got whatever they wanted.
  4. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Exactly. And that’s why neither can or will be the “next Texas.” They have no leverage to get special treatment.
  5. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    So let’s say, hypothetically, Oregon and Washington join the B12. At some point, one, the other or both demand some sort of special treatment. The rest of the conference is either against it or not necessarily for it. Why would they give in? Now, let’s say at some point in the future, the B10...
  6. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    The only problem with this theory is the speculation that GK has held off presenting numbers to PAC members precisely because it would trigger an exodus. How long will AZ or the other school wait? If GK knows more are going to leave the PAC after he presents a deal, why would he be in any...
  7. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    With the media deal & GOR expiring and no replacement, the PAC schools are all free agents. Unless there are rules / fees in the conference bylaws, schools are free to leave after they expire with no penalty or notice window requires.
  8. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    My reasoning for wanting WA & OR if possible: Everyone in the B12 would take a B10 invite at the drop of a hat. There’s nothing anyone in the B12 (or PAC, or ACC) can do to make the B10 invite them. If WA & OR were in the B12, there would be nowhere else they could make more money unless they...
  9. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    All the 2021 additions are projects, to some degree. But the B12 might not have stuck together, probably wouldn’t have inked as good if a media deal, and wouldn’t be in a position to poach PAC schools without them. That said, with the PAC on the table and the ACC likely to be in ~10 years...
  10. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Yeah, the ACC’s only an option if the B10, SEC and B12 all pass on a school. And that’s if the ACC even can expand without opening up their GOR.
  11. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Right or wrong, it can be a feedback loop. Outlet A reports it, then there’s reports on reporting it, etc. iIf it gets audience attention, it picks up speed. Once there’s an audience for a topic, everyone kind of has to report on it. That’s not to attack the validity of the reporting, or the...
  12. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    If football fades in popularity, it’ll come more from the player side than the fan’s side. I just don’t see a large number of people turning off football over CTE or other health concerns. The number of kids playing high school football has fallen off over the last few decades. It would have...
  13. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I hope the powers that could make it happen realize exactly why it wouldn’t work. Or everyone other than the most self-centered programs (Ohio St and about 1/3rd of the SEC) decline to join.
  14. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    True, but there’s more markers of success - 10-win seasons, divisions/conference title games, conference championships, making the CFP field. There would be fewer of each to go around in a super league. Plus, the programs that would be in the back half of the super league are used to having...
  15. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    A college football super league would need some system to distribute talent. For example, the NFL has a salary cap, a draft system, and a fairly limited roster cap. In theory, everyone has similar access to acquiring talent and resources to keep that talent in their roster. Successful teams...
  16. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    After another moment of contemplation, guess the work around for this would be to add SDSU + as many AAC schools as necessary to get back to 10 members for 2024, take whatever pity deal a media outlet offers and then see which MWC maximize revenue for 2025 and beyond.
  17. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I was certain of this at one point, but now I'm not so sure. Case for MWC schools joining the PAC: PAC brand > MWC brand A few years left on the current CFP deal Better bowl agreements in place Taking the PAC + the top of the MWC would probably be a better and more lucrative conference...
  18. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I don't see the logic behind taking UConn right now. Assuming the real stop point is 16 and the B12 has 3 spots and 6 prospects, I think they're probably no better than the 4th best option.
  19. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    I agree, BC and WF are hosed. I like the grouping of Pitt/Syracuse/UConn over swapping one of them out for Louisville, personally. A lot of that depends on if Syracuse or UConn can get some football momentum, if Louisville can clean up their act, and if Syracuse has a successful coaching...
  20. exCyDing

    Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

    Yeah, but does the B12 want Louisville? Their athletic dept has been an ethical and compliance nightmare for decades. They've been way up and way down in both BB and FB during that time. Just as an exercise, it's 2032 and the B10, B12 and SEC are all at 16 schools. The next stop is 20 for all...
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