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  1. NiceMarmot

    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    Just visually seeing Kansas/Houston/Arizona/Baylor as the top 4 teams in the conference is jarring. Going to feel damn near impossible to finish top 4 in the league if those schools keep rolling.
  2. NiceMarmot

    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    Because I don't want to work, here's what a Big XII/Big 10 challenge would have looked like this season if it was scheduled based on going 1 thru 14 in each conference in Kenpom's preseason ratings. Kansas and Purdue are both in Maui and Iowa/Oklahoma play this week, so you'd have to shuffle...
  3. NiceMarmot

    2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread

    Look at Michigan State losing to preseason 136 in Kenpom James Madison or Oklahoma State catching a loss to 169-ranked Abilene Christian last night. There is no benefit in scheduling those teams vs. Green Bay or Lindenwood or Grambling in the non-conference. You get ZERO credit for beating those...
  4. NiceMarmot

    Iowa State Transfer/Recruiting Class 2023

    Have there been whispers about Knecht or is that just your hopes that he'll come? A quick google indicates he's been in contact with a lot of "bigger" programs, so I just assume he'll be too expensive for ISU.
  5. NiceMarmot

    ***Official 2023 Transfer Thread***

    Look at the 2024 class. I'd be surprised if they fire him before that class gets into Chapel Hill.
  6. NiceMarmot

    ***Official 2023 Transfer Thread***

    RJ Davis and Bacot are back and his next two classes are very good; he'll be fine for at least 2-3 more years. I wouldn't be surprised if Love was told to move on with how bad he was this year.
  7. NiceMarmot

    *** Official Selection Sunday Thread 2023 ***

    ISU was one spot behind Miami in the seed list (21 vs 20). One spot away from that ISU / Drake matchup so many people were fearing!
  8. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Discussion

    Here's my final bracket projection for this season. Some notes: I think Kansas/Alabama/Houston will be the top 3 teams, but I really have no idea in what order they'll place them. Being ahead of Houston is important for Kansas to get that Kansas City regional. If Kansas doesn't get placed...
  9. NiceMarmot

    *** Official Selection Sunday Thread 2023 ***

    I'm currently doing one last scrub of the field before I post my final prediction later today. Here's what I had for a bracket on Friday morning. I'd be really surprised if anyone outside of these 24 teams snuck onto the top 6 seed lines. The two that I could see maybe crashing this group are...
  10. NiceMarmot

    ISU MBB Twitter

    I believe the guy TJ fake tackled was Brooks Wells, common Big 12 referee. I thought all the people here said TJ had to yell at the refs more to have a good working relationship with them?
  11. NiceMarmot

    Iowa State Transfer/Recruiting Class 2023

    Coming off two straight tournaments, a Sweet 16, and having the best recruiting class in school history, it makes me think of the line from Inception, "You mustn't be afraid to dream a little bigger, darling." Not saying we wouldn't take a Harvard guy or Timberlake from Towson, but those aren't...
  12. NiceMarmot

    2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread

    My bracket projection after the end of the regular season as we head into major conference tournaments week. In the regression model I built to project the final seed list which can be seen on the Resumes tab in this link, Iowa State is currently the #22 overall team, which would be the 2nd...
  13. NiceMarmot

    2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread

    We don't need to worry in that scenario as Creighton and Marquette wouldn't be placed together as 3/6 as they're in the same conference. If we assume ISU is a 6 as of now, it's looking like ISU potential 2nd round matchup would likely be Marquette, Gonzaga, Tennessee, Indiana, or maybe...
  14. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Discussion

    It's not just the NET you should look at. You've got to look at NET, record versus Q1+Q2 (Wisconsin 11-12, Oklahoma State 9-13), top of the line Q1A wins (Wisconsin 2-5 record, Oklahoma State 1-10), and their KPI-SOR metrics, which measure their overall resumes (Wisconsin 47/48 KPI/SOR, Oklahoma...
  15. NiceMarmot

    2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread

    My bracket projection for today heading into the weekend: I also built a simple regression model this week based on the committee's final seed list from 2022. The projected seed list for that can be found in the Resumes tab in the link above. That regression model has Iowa State as the #30...
  16. NiceMarmot

    Seniors Eligibility and Senior Night

    You’re using a haircut and a headband as your case for player analysis, instead of ignoring the fact that he hurt his back in the Texas game, must have re-tweaked in the time between the 2nd Oklahoma State game and TCU game, and his play has suffered since both those incidents. You don’t turn...
  17. NiceMarmot

    Seniors Eligibility and Senior Night

    My assumption has been Grill comes back, Ward transfers or moves on, and King/Jones are question marks.
  18. NiceMarmot

    Are we even a tournament team?

    The weirdest part of Palm's "analysis" to me is what he wrote here. "They have fallen down to a No. 8 seed in Tuesday's bracket. That would be the best seed ever given to a team that was below .500 against the top three quadrants in the 30 years I have been doing brackets. Because of the...
  19. NiceMarmot

    Caleb Grill has been dismissed from team

    The "TJ needs to yell at the refs more" take some people have is wild to me for a couple reasons. I was at the game last night and thought TJ was talking to the officials, especially Padilla, quite a bit. Does he need to yell for it to mean something? How do we know what TJ is even saying in...
  20. NiceMarmot

    Are we even a tournament team?

    People, last night can't be a win that pushes West Virginia into the tournament AND also pushes Iowa State out of the tournament. There is no world in which West Virginia gets an at-large bid, and Iowa State doesn't. Now I think we could fall to the 8/9 range depending on other results but 6/7...
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