WILLIAMS: Analyzing Iowa State’s NCAA Tournament situation after a big week
- Thread starter ChrisMWilliams
- Start date
2 more wins and its no doubt. But florida won today. Bad day for us with bubble results and the non-con teams not helping our net.
Still feeling good after the first laugher/strong finish since ***** slapping the fake ID..
Still feeling good after the first laugher/strong finish since ***** slapping the fake ID..
Iowa finally got a quad 1 win…so that helps us and they’re projecting in which makes absolutely no sense
We don't need to beat WVU to make the play in game. Beating WVU and OSU, in my opinion, could put us anywherw from7-9 seed range. Win a game or two in KC, who knows. Lose to WVU, and we might get knocked down to the play in game.
If they were a bubble team I feel good about our chances. I think we just completely popped their bubble.
Yeah but as messed up as it is that may get them off the bubble. They need a another bad loss to put them back on the outside looking in, if you ask me.
1 more win and we're in, 2 more and we're a single-digit seed. The committee's message today with the Top 16 said everything we needed to know - Quad 1 wins are going to mean way more than NET. You have to actually beat teams, not just show that you could based on analytics. How can you keep Houston lower than a 4 seed when they are #4 overall in NET? That's 1-seed quality, right? Oh, they have 0 Quad 1 wins...same with putting Wisconsin and Providence in the Top 16.
No way they will keep us out with 19 overall wins and 8 Q1. No way. I bet we're actually no worse than a 9 seed at that point. We might even be in after today, but they'd have a hard time justifying a team that went 5-13 in their conference even if our overall resume is tournament-worthy, so they'd probably keep us out or maybe put us in Dayton.
No way they will keep us out with 19 overall wins and 8 Q1. No way. I bet we're actually no worse than a 9 seed at that point. We might even be in after today, but they'd have a hard time justifying a team that went 5-13 in their conference even if our overall resume is tournament-worthy, so they'd probably keep us out or maybe put us in Dayton.
1-30 at home, so not a quad 1 win.
You’re right. It’s the same situation as Kansas and Kentucky. Kentucky is ranked higher in NET, and they killed Kansas at Allen Fieldhouse. The committee put Kansas over Kentucky. Why? Because Kansas has more Quad 1 wins.
It was actually our first Q2 win of the year, which just shows how tough the B12 is. We've actually only played 3 Q2 games this season, but 15 Q1.
I think our fanbase is so primed for disappointment that we're really underestimating the position the team is in. We could possibly break the model if we finish 5-13 or 6-12 in the league, because when you compare our overall record and Q1 wins we'll be way, way better than every other team you'd compare us with. Let's just win out at Hilton and then be really happy on Selection Sunday when we get like a 6 seed and people are screaming at us.
Yeah I said this at 16 wins but I thought 19 was the magic number to make the dance. Get to 20 and we’re likely a 7 seed. Win one in KC and we could be a 6. Whoever we play in Hilton South will most likely be another Q1 opportunity.
Just took a look through the NET. ISU has played 15 Q1 games. Next most are Baylor and Marquette at 13 each. No other team has played more than 12.
I went through yesterday and took a brief look at resumes, and put us on the 6 line coming into today. You could even have an argument for higher as I'm not sure Ohio State or LSU have a better resume than we do. Also, I got 16/16 right in matching the committee's seed release, so...
What a difference a week makes.
Just get in, I don’t care about the seed. Brock is the kind of guy that could carry you to a couple wins if you give him the chance. He was a stone cold assassin today.
Just get in, I don’t care about the seed. Brock is the kind of guy that could carry you to a couple wins if you give him the chance. He was a stone cold assassin today.
And playing smothering defense usually helps in the dance.