Coronavirus Coronavirus: In-Iowa General Discussion (Not Limited)

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Coming up on 8-10 weeks left for most places I think...might as well do what can be done like online learning but I'm not sure how you just switch gears back to normalcy for the last two weeks or whatever.

yeah, I think schools are toast for this year. They should first get restaurants and stores up and running. Then office workers working from home should go back to the office. I think slowly working back in is smart.
 
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I 100% agree with this but unfortunately even with flattening the curve I'm not sure if the medical supply chain will be able to catch up.

Not without an organized, competent federal response. We have a lot of ground to make up, and I foresee “us” folding and giving up before we execute the medical supply chain development needed. Frankly, I’m not sure we have a desire to do anything. Pivoting back to ignorance is a bliss will be tough but at least the S&P will break 2500
 
I don't think we really know that yet. We've tested around 2,000 total people. Our infection rate is similar to national average but our hospitalization rate is much, much lower which is great. This next week will tell us a lot. If we start to see double/tripling of new cases, we'll right along with other areas. If we don't, we've likely done really well at distancing and flattening the curve.

Most people started taking conscious isolating measures around a week ago.

The mean time to develop symptoms is 7 days.

The average period for those that die from first reporting symptoms is 12 days, but highly dependent upon availability of care.

It looks like at least another week before we even have the possibility of numbers leveling off and another two weeks after that before the baddest of the bad news works it way through.

There just isn't any chance a status change is considered before we get through that, I think.
 
The number of negative tests has been interesting. I wonder how we balance the need for testing with also telling people not to freak out if they have cold-like symptoms

WA has tested over 31,000 and 30,000 of those were negative. That's a a lot of medical supplies, people, time and anxiety for 30,000 of 31,000 to be so concerned about nothing.
 
I just ran uptown and talked to our small town pharmacist, ask what he had been hearing. He said that they had been told that's it suppose to peak in Iowa in 3 to 4 weeks from today. He said that is the peak, that there would still be new cases after that date, but just fewer each week.

So if he right, then we are just beginning this process and nowhere near the end.
Some of the initial research contradicts this, but I'm holding onto hope that the warmer/humid weather at least slows down the spread of the virus.
At least we could return to more normal lives from May to September/October.

This is a good paper that somewhat supports the slower spread in the summer months.
https://ccdd.hsph.harvard.edu/will-covid-19-go-away-on-its-own-in-warmer-weather/

As the BBC says in this article, we may just have to wait to see what happens in warmer weather
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200323-coronavirus-will-hot-weather-kill-covid-19
 
yeah, I think schools are toast for this year. They should first get restaurants and stores up and running. Then office workers working from home should go back to the office. I think slowly working back in is smart.


I actually think those of us working remote and able to do so are the last ones we should bring back online. Once daycares open back up.....those of us with kids can stay home another 3 weeks to let it run through our houses without spreading it all through the office too.
 
The percentage that kids go back to school this year is somewhere in the neighborhood of zero.

I would say you are correct, and I am coming around to that thought more and more each day. Our seniors last day is May 9th, 6 weeks from now, just do not see them having graduation, nor us back up and running by then. Hopefully I am wrong and we can get back to work by the end of April.
 
People are going to be "pushed back to work" before the supply chain will be anywhere close to caught up...
At least until they get sick! Companies may lose a few employees to PTO for a couple weeks, and bereavement days will be up.

It’ll likely depend on the local level. Some places, like many parts of Iowa, can relax the social distancing without quickly losing workers to illness or even death.
 
WA has tested over 31,000 and 30,000 of those were negative. That's a a lot of medical supplies, people, time and anxiety for 30,000 of 31,000 to be so concerned about nothing.
This again? lol.
 
I actually think those of us working remote and able to do so are the last ones we should bring back online. Once daycares open back up.....those of us with kids can stay home another 3 weeks to let it run through our houses without spreading it all through the office too.

Good point. Overall, I think it has to be a slow start up.

I read that trump wants to get up by Easter and is contemplating getting people working by age. That seems stupid.
 
Good point. Overall, I think it has to be a slow start up.

I read that trump wants to get up by Easter and is contemplating getting people working by age. That seems stupid.


Totally agree on both points. I'm looking at it thinking if we're able to get most of work done remotely now, don't be in a rush to bring us back. Get the more critical people online first. That should help keep infection rate spikes down as well. And to do anything by Easter that isn't further shutting down is just so unwise and against all expert advice.
 
Totally agree on both points. I'm looking at it thinking if we're able to get most of work done remotely now, don't be in a rush to bring us back. Get the more critical people online first. That should help keep infection rate spikes down as well. And to do anything by Easter that isn't further shutting down is just so unwise and against all expert advice.

I have an employee who has essentially decided she is going to stay home despite our office still being open-- which I am completely supportive of. However, I do wonder what will prompt her to come back. It's hard to know how clear it has to be to be in the clear, and if you don't think it's safe today, what will make you feel safe?

I totally support her staying home, but from a small business standpoint it is hard to plan for when I don't know how long she will be gone.
 
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I have an employee who has essentially decided she is going to stay home despite our office still being open-- which I am completely supportive of. However, I do wonder what will prompt her to come back. It's hard to know how clear it has to be to be in the clear, and if you don't think it's safe today, what will make you feel safe?

I totally support her staying home, but from a small business standpoint it is hard to plan for when I don't know how long she will be gone.

I think this is the case for most things. When do we know it's OK to go out and sit down in a cafe? When can we feel safe even going to the bank? Or buying shoes?
 
It's unfortunate we don't have Fauci's thought out and realistic input.

I have noticed that he is still there, but has been replaced by Dr. Bix, get the feeling her line of thinking is more inline with the president on this matter. I hope she is correct with her Hot Spot idea, because if she is wrong, this will prolong the virus for months.
 
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