Oklahoma is a curious case. They probably need to go 7-11 in conference (sitting at 3-9 right now). If they get close though you have to think the committee will like the non-conference Lon put together... They didn't play any juggernauts but went 11-1 against the 13th ranked non-conference SOS in the country. I see they do have 4 more opportunities for quadrant 1A wins as well. That's opportunity or demise.
I think OU, Florida, and Nebraska will be very interesting. They all seem stuck right around #40 in the NET, but are a combined 0-20 in Q1 games and Florida and Neb have pretty bad overall records.